Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Wizards ORL @ WSH

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

2-4  |  Road

125
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

1-4  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
📊
WIZARDS
0%
MAGIC --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Washington)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

8.1%

Wizards Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

ORL By 1-7 points

5.8%

ORL By 8-14 points

1.4%

WSH By 1-7 points

16.9%

WSH By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
98
ORLANDO
112
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
108
ORLANDO
112
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wizards Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wizards (+9) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Wizards (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u233.5 Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim u233.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 WSH @ ORL 131 - 136
Mar 3, 2026 WSH @ ORL 109 - 126
Jan 6, 2026 ORL @ WSH 112 - 120
Nov 1, 2025 ORL @ WSH 125 - 94
Apr 3, 2025 ORL @ WSH 109 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +60.7% more
Washington: 14.8 vs Orlando: 9.2
Blocks (L5) +58.3% more
Washington: 1.7 vs Orlando: 1.1
Assists (L5) +56.8% more
Washington: 7.3 vs Orlando: 4.7
Steals (L5) +53.1% more
Washington: 2.2 vs Orlando: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 98.0 125
WSH Score 112.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.4 / 38.9 33.0 / 33.0
Assists 7.3 / 4.7 19.0 / 32.0
Blocks 1.7 / 1.1 9.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 46.8 40.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 20.5 / 15.0 47.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 14.8 / 9.2 40.0 / 53.0
Steals 2.2 / 1.5 7.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 4.8 / 3.6 17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL Advantage
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
ORL
WSH
ORL
ML
70% 112-49
61% 65-42
47% 39-44
56% 51-40
ATS
69% 111-49-1
64% 68-38-1
47% 39-44
56% 51-40
TTL
74% 119-41-1
57% 61-46
100% 83-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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