PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
8-2-2 | Road
2
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
8-3-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Neal Pionk
#4 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 4.05 | 0.879 | -- |
| Neal Pionk | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.05
GAA
--
0.879
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
JETS
0%
PENGUINS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
WPG By 1 goal
19.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
WPG @ PIT
3 - 2
Mar 21, 2026
WPG @ PIT
4 - 5
Nov 1, 2025
PIT @ WPG
2 - 5
Nov 22, 2024
WPG @ PIT
4 - 1
Oct 20, 2024
PIT @ WPG
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+22.5% more
Winnipeg: 21.3
vs
Pittsburgh: 17.4
Takeaways (L5)
+13.9% more
Pittsburgh: 4.7
vs
Winnipeg: 4.0
Power Play % (L5)
+12.4%
Pittsburgh: 46.2%
vs
Winnipeg: 33.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.0
2
WPG Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 15.9
14.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
55.1 / 54.0
45.8 / 54.2
Hits
21.3 / 17.4
29.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
33.9 / 46.2
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 28.6
34.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 4.7
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
PIT
WPG
PIT
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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