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DALLAS

STARSDAL

6-3-2  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 6:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

5-5-1  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Casey DeSmith None-None 2.79 0.893 --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.79 GAA --
0.893 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
STARS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

30.9%

Panthers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

DAL By 1 goal

12.1%

DAL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DALLAS
4
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 FLA @ DAL 4 - 0
Nov 1, 2025 DAL @ FLA 3 - 4
Nov 2, 2024 DAL @ FLA 2 - 4
Nov 1, 2024 FLA @ DAL 6 - 4
Mar 12, 2024 FLA @ DAL 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.6% more
Florida: 30.0 vs Dallas: 24.1
Takeaways (L5) +14.3% more
Dallas: 4.1 vs Florida: 3.6
Power Play % (L5) +3.5%
Dallas: 18.8% vs Florida: 15.3%
Faceoff % (L5) +1.6%
Dallas: 53.2% vs Florida: 51.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.0 3
FLA Score 4.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.7 / 15.6 9.0 / 22.0
Faceoff % 51.5 / 53.2 32.6 / 67.4
Hits 27.3 / 27.2 26.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 15.3 / 18.8 0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 30.0 / 24.1 28.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 3.6 / 4.1 3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
63%MONEY37%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
DAL
FLA
DAL
ML
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
ATS
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
100% 3-0
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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