Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gators @ Wildcats FLA @ ARIZ

FLORIDA

GATORSFLA

0-1  |  Road

87
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

WILDCATSARIZ

1-0  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
GATORS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
GATORS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Arizona)
GatorsFLA (-3.5) 0 WildcatsARIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gators Cover

2.9%

Wildcats Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARIZ -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARIZ)

FLA By 1-7 points

2.2%

FLA By 8-14 points

0.4%

ARIZ By 1-7 points

9.3%

ARIZ By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
FLORIDA
76
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
74
FLORIDA
78
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 FLA @ ARIZ 87 - 93
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.6%
Arizona: 44.6% vs Florida: 34.0%
Blocks (L5) +10.2% more
Arizona: 4.2 vs Florida: 3.8
Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
Arizona: 47.6% vs Florida: 44.7%
Turnovers (L5) +30.5% more
Florida: 13.5 vs Arizona: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 57.0 87
ARIZ Score 76.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.6 / 34.0 40.0 / 26.0
Assists 12.7 / 12.5 15.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.8 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 44.7 49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 74.1 / 78.4 82.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 37.2 / 40.4 41.0 / 39.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.0 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 13.5 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FLA
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
ARIZ Advantage
36-3-0 (92.3%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FLA
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
ARIZ Advantage
23-15-1 (60.5%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8% Total +/-: -1.9
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARIZ
FLA
ARIZ
FLA
ML
67% 26-13
77% 27-8
68% 23-11
63% 22-13
ATS
74% 29-10
69% 24-11
68% 23-11
63% 22-13
TTL
56% 22-17
63% 22-13
100% 34-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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