Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Cougars VILL @ BYU

VILLANOVA

WILDCATSVILL

0-0  |  Road

66
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 9:30 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

BYU

COUGARSBYU

0-0  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
WILDCATS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (BYU)
WildcatsVILL (-3.5) 0 CougarsBYU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

18.4%

Cougars Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)

VILL By 1-7 points

12.2%

VILL By 8-14 points

4.0%

BYU By 1-7 points

24.3%

BYU By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
77
VILLANOVA
86
BYU
Simulated Score
72
VILLANOVA
75
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 VILL @ BYU 66 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +64.8% more
BYU: 17.7 vs Villanova: 10.8
Steals (L5) +53.0% more
BYU: 7.5 vs Villanova: 4.9
Turnovers (L5) +40.4% more
BYU: 11.7 vs Villanova: 8.3
Blocks (L5) +13.6% more
BYU: 2.8 vs Villanova: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VILL Score 77.0 66
BYU Score 86.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.0 / 33.1 29.0 / 29.0
Assists 17.7 / 10.8 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.4 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 41.7 39.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 82.4 / 73.9 67.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 37.3 43.0 / 49.0
Steals 7.5 / 4.9 4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 8.3 4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VILL Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
BYU
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VILL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
BYU
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +1.7
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
VILL
BYU
VILL
ML
60% 21-14
44% 14-18
72% 23-9
72% 23-9
ATS
54% 19-16
56% 18-14
72% 23-9
72% 23-9
TTL
69% 24-11
41% 13-19
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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