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BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

2-3  |  Road

109
FINAL
Fri, Oct 31 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

4-0  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
CELTICS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Boston)
CelticsBOS (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Celtics Cover

69.1%

76ers Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1-7 points

27.2%

BOS By 8-14 points

23.0%

PHI By 1-7 points

18.6%

PHI By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
99
BOSTON
94
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
112
BOSTON
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celtics (+1) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u233.5 Win
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim u233.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 2, 2026 PHI @ BOS 109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026 BOS @ PHI 93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026 PHI @ BOS 113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026 BOS @ PHI 128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026 BOS @ PHI 108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +23.6% more
Boston: 2.0 vs Philadelphia: 1.6
Steals (L5) +13.5% more
Boston: 2.8 vs Philadelphia: 2.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.0%
Philadelphia: 37.3% vs Boston: 27.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 99.0 109
PHI Score 94.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.3 / 27.3 40.0 / 25.6
Assists 6.5 / 6.1 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 1.6 / 2.0 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 44.8 45.9 / 45.1
Free Throw % 2234.0 / 2331.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 12.2 / 13.2 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 2.4 / 2.8 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 4.9 / 4.8 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
63% 69-40
57% 61-46
48% 45-48
53% 47-41
ATS
65% 71-38
59% 61-43-3
48% 45-48
53% 47-41
TTL
55% 60-49
56% 60-47
100% 93-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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