Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Suns UTAH @ PHX

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

2-2  |  Road

96
FINAL
Fri, Oct 31 • 10:00 PM ET
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PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

1-4  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
📊
SUNS
0%
JAZZ --
SUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Phoenix)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 SunsPHX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

46.0%

Suns Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)

UTAH By 1-7 points

24.3%

UTAH By 8-14 points

13.7%

PHX By 1-7 points

26.2%

PHX By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
111
UTAH
112
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
112
UTAH
118
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Suns Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Suns Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Suns (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Suns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u237.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim u237.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 UTAH @ PHX 109 - 134
Oct 31, 2025 UTAH @ PHX 96 - 118
Oct 27, 2025 PHX @ UTAH 134 - 138
Feb 7, 2025 UTAH @ PHX 127 - 135
Jan 11, 2025 UTAH @ PHX 106 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +8.2% more
Phoenix: 1.6 vs Utah: 1.5
Assists (L5) +42.2% more
Utah: 12.8 vs Phoenix: 7.4
Rebounding (L5) +39.9% more
Utah: 20.5 vs Phoenix: 12.3
Turnovers (L5) +33.6% more
Utah: 7.2 vs Phoenix: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 111.0 96
PHX Score 112.0 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.5 / 36.9 29.4 / 38.6
Assists 7.4 / 12.8 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 1.6 / 1.5 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 51.8 47.4 / 55.2
Free Throw % 2060.0 / 3673.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 12.3 / 20.5 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 3.2 / 3.7 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 4.8 / 7.2 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
PHX Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
UTAH
PHX
UTAH
ML
57% 60-45
60% 96-63
51% 45-43
48% 40-43
ATS
58% 59-43-3
68% 108-51
51% 45-43
48% 40-43
TTL
59% 61-42-2
75% 119-39-1
100% 88-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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