Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Clippers NO @ LAC

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

0-4  |  Road

124
FINAL
Fri, Oct 31 • 10:30 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

2-2  |  Home

126
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
100%
📊
CLIPPERS
0%
PELICANS --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (LA)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

21.2%

Clippers Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

NO By 1-7 points

13.7%

NO By 8-14 points

4.8%

LAC By 1-7 points

25.3%

LAC By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
103
NEW ORLEANS
111
LA
Simulated Score
108
NEW ORLEANS
112
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Clippers (+11) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Clippers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u223.5 Loss
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim u223.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 LAC @ NO 99 - 105
Mar 18, 2026 LAC @ NO 109 - 124
Mar 1, 2026 NO @ LAC 117 - 137
Oct 31, 2025 NO @ LAC 124 - 126
Apr 2, 2025 NO @ LAC 98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +73.6% more
LA: 2.5 vs New Orleans: 1.4
Assists (L5) +22.2% more
LA: 12.6 vs New Orleans: 10.3
Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
LA: 47.3% vs New Orleans: 45.6%
Rebounding (L5) +8.4% more
New Orleans: 20.1 vs LA: 18.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 103.0 124
LAC Score 111.0 126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 34.4 31.1 / 37.0
Assists 12.6 / 10.3 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 2.5 / 1.4 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 45.6 44.3 / 45.9
Free Throw % 3485.0 / 3468.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 18.4 / 20.1 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 4.2 / 4.0 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 6.8 / 6.7 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
NO
LAC
NO
ML
60% 59-40
62% 98-61
55% 45-37
58% 48-35
ATS
66% 65-33-1
68% 107-51-1
55% 45-37
58% 48-35
TTL
59% 58-40-1
75% 119-40
100% 82-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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