AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
BULLS
100%
KNICKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
257.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
18.6%
NY By 8-14 points
26.8%
CHI By 1-7 points
6.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
135
NEW YORK
Chicago
122
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
New York
105
NEW YORK
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 257.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
CHI @ NY
96 - 136
Feb 22, 2026
NY @ CHI
105 - 99
Nov 2, 2025
CHI @ NY
116 - 128
Oct 31, 2025
NY @ CHI
125 - 135
Feb 20, 2025
CHI @ NY
111 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.0% more
New York: 3.5
vs
Chicago: 2.3
Turnovers (L5)
+32.3% more
New York: 7.5
vs
Chicago: 5.1
Rebounding (L5)
+31.7% more
New York: 21.3
vs
Chicago: 14.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.9%
New York: 35.8%
vs
Chicago: 22.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
135.0
125
CHI Score
122.0
135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 34.3
36.7 / 35.0
Assists
8.8 / 9.9
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.7
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 42.2
44.8 / 43.0
Free Throw %
2292.0 / 3578.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
14.5 / 21.3
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
2.3 / 3.5
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
5.1 / 7.5
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
NY
CHI
NY
ML
56%
54-42
61%
114-72
57%
46-35
56%
57-45
ATS
65%
62-33-1
67%
124-62
57%
46-35
56%
57-45
TTL
58%
56-40
72%
133-53
100%
81-0
100%
102-0