ORLANDO
MAGICORL
1-4 | Road
123
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
2-2 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
HORNETS
0%
MAGIC
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
ORL By 1-7 points
24.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
13.7%
CHA By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
75
ORLANDO
Charlotte
76
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u239.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u239.5
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 17, 2026
CHA @ ORL
90 - 121
Mar 19, 2026
ORL @ CHA
111 - 130
Jan 22, 2026
CHA @ ORL
124 - 97
Dec 26, 2025
CHA @ ORL
120 - 105
Oct 30, 2025
ORL @ CHA
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+23.1% more
Charlotte: 8.6
vs
Orlando: 7.0
Rebounding (L5)
+10.3% more
Charlotte: 15.2
vs
Orlando: 13.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
Charlotte: 45.2%
vs
Orlando: 38.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Charlotte: 51.9%
vs
Orlando: 46.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
75.0
123
CHA Score
76.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.2 / 38.4
47.2 / 40.0
Assists
8.6 / 7.0
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
1.1 / 1.6
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
51.9 / 46.9
53.3 / 46.7
Free Throw %
2115.0 / 2243.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
15.2 / 13.8
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
2.0 / 2.2
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
5.3 / 5.4
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
ORL
CHA
ORL
ML
61%
60-39
61%
65-42
48%
40-44
56%
51-40
ATS
60%
59-40
64%
68-38-1
48%
40-44
56%
51-40
TTL
58%
57-42
57%
61-46
100%
84-0
100%
91-0
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