NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
4-4-1 | Road
2
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
6-3-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Matthew Schaefer
#48 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schaefer | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 2.00 | 0.929 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.929
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
ISLANDERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
CAR @ NYI
2 - 1
Apr 4, 2026
NYI @ CAR
3 - 4
Oct 30, 2025
NYI @ CAR
2 - 6
Mar 30, 2025
NYI @ CAR
4 - 6
Jan 25, 2025
CAR @ NYI
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+26.9%
Carolina: 35.7%
vs
New York: 8.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+19.3% more
Carolina: 5.0
vs
New York: 4.2
Hits (L5)
+12.5% more
Carolina: 20.4
vs
New York: 18.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.9%
Carolina: 50.7%
vs
New York: 47.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
2
CAR Score
4.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 14.9
10.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
50.7 / 47.8
38.7 / 61.3
Hits
20.4 / 18.1
19.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
35.7 / 8.8
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
28.8 / 30.3
34.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.2
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
NYI
CAR
NYI
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-5
67%
2-1-1
20%
1-4
100%
3-0-1
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