CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
2-8-1 | Road
3
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
5-5-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Devin Cooley
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Cooley | None-None | 2.80 | 0.921 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.77 | 0.897 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.80
GAA
Ldr 2.77
0.921 Ldr
Save %
0.897
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
SENATORS
0%
FLAMES
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Ottawa
5
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
OTT @ CGY
4 - 1
Oct 30, 2025
CGY @ OTT
3 - 4
Dec 19, 2024
OTT @ CGY
3 - 2
Nov 25, 2024
CGY @ OTT
3 - 4
Jan 9, 2024
OTT @ CGY
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+35.3% more
Ottawa: 17.1
vs
Calgary: 12.7
Power Play % (L5)
+30.4%
Ottawa: 35.8%
vs
Calgary: 5.3%
Hits (L5)
+16.4% more
Ottawa: 23.0
vs
Calgary: 19.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.8%
Ottawa: 56.2%
vs
Calgary: 46.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
4.0
3
OTT Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.1 / 12.7
21.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
56.2 / 46.4
65.7 / 34.3
Hits
23.0 / 19.8
16.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
35.8 / 5.3
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 30.3
38.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 3.6
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
CGY
OTT
CGY
ML
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
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