Home / NFL Projections NFL / Panthers @ Packers CAR @ GB

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

4-4  |  Road

16
FINAL
Sun, Nov 2 • 1:00 PM ET
Lambeau Field
View Odds Details →

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

5-1-1  |  Home

13
Key Game
Sam Martin
KEY GAME

Sam Martin

#6 | Punter
@
Ty'Ron Hopper
KEY GAME

Ty'Ron Hopper

#59 | Linebacker
Player
Sam Martin None-None
Ty'Ron Hopper None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
PACKERS
0%
PANTHERS --
PACKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
51.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Green Bay)
PanthersCAR (-3.5) 0 PackersGB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

41.5%

Packers Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GB -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

CAR By 1-6 points

15.3%

CAR By 7-13 points

12.9%

GB By 1-6 points

17.0%

GB By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
24
CAROLINA
27
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
27
CAROLINA
20
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Packers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Packers (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Panthers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 51.0
D
Sim u43.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 2, 2025 CAR @ GB 16 - 13
Dec 24, 2023 GB @ CAR 33 - 30
Dec 19, 2020 CAR @ GB 16 - 24
Nov 10, 2019 CAR @ GB 16 - 24
Dec 17, 2017 GB @ CAR 24 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +59.5% more
Green Bay: 266.0 vs Carolina: 166.8
Yards Per Play (L5) +26.7% more
Green Bay: 6.1 vs Carolina: 4.8
Total Yards (L5) +22.1% more
Green Bay: 378.6 vs Carolina: 309.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +8.0% more
Green Bay: 0.4 vs Carolina: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 24.0 16
GB Score 27.0 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.7 / 20.5 20.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards 266.0 / 166.8 265.0 / 102.0
Rushing Yards 112.6 / 143.2 104.0 / 163.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.54 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 378.6 / 309.9 369.0 / 265.0
Turnovers 0.4 / 1.5 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 6.1 / 4.8 5.9 / 4.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
GB
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
GB
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
CAR
GB
CAR
ML
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
0% 0-3-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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