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CHICAGO

BEARSCHI

4-3  |  Road

47
FINAL
Sun, Nov 2 • 1:00 PM ET
Paycor Stadium
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

3-5  |  Home

42
Key Game
Tory Taylor
KEY GAME

Tory Taylor

#19 | Punter
@
Ryan Rehkow
KEY GAME

Ryan Rehkow

#8 | Punter
Player
Tory Taylor None-None
Ryan Rehkow None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
0%
📊
BENGALS
100%
BEARS --
BENGALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Chicago)
BearsCHI (-3.5) 0 BengalsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bears Cover

69.1%

Bengals Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around CHI -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

CHI By 1-6 points

16.5%

CHI By 7-13 points

19.3%

CIN By 1-6 points

12.9%

CIN By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
31
CHICAGO
24
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
20
CHICAGO
24
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bengals Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bears (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Bengals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o51.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
D
Sim u51.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 2, 2025 CHI @ CIN 47 - 42
Sep 19, 2021 CIN @ CHI 17 - 20
Dec 10, 2017 CHI @ CIN 33 - 7
Sep 8, 2013 CIN @ CHI 21 - 24
Oct 25, 2009 CHI @ CIN 10 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.0% more
Chicago: 0.9 vs Cincinnati: 0.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +8.0% more
Chicago: 130.6 vs Cincinnati: 120.2
First Downs (L5) +13.5% more
Cincinnati: 22.0 vs Chicago: 19.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 31.0 47
CIN Score 24.0 42
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.0 / 19.4 26.0 / 30.0
Net Passing Yards 234.3 / 227.4 449.0 / 293.0
Rushing Yards 120.2 / 130.6 46.0 / 283.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.53
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.57
Total Yards 354.4 / 358.0 495.0 / 576.0
Turnovers 0.7 / 0.9 3.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.8 / 5.7 7.6 / 7.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -0.5
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
CHI
CIN
CHI
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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