Home / NFL Projections NFL / 49ers @ Giants SF @ NYG

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

5-3  |  Road

34
FINAL
Sun, Nov 2 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-6  |  Home

24
Key Game
Eddy Pineiro
KEY GAME

Eddy Pineiro

#18 | Place kicker
@
Jalin Hyatt
KEY GAME

Jalin Hyatt

#13 | Wide Receiver
Player
Eddy Pineiro None-None
Jalin Hyatt None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
📊
GIANTS
0%
49ERS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
43.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New York)
49ersSF (-3.5) 0 GiantsNYG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

41.5%

Giants Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYG -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)

SF By 1-6 points

15.3%

SF By 7-13 points

12.9%

NYG By 1-6 points

17.0%

NYG By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
20
SAN FRANCISCO
23
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
17
SAN FRANCISCO
27
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 43.0
D
Sim u48.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 2, 2025 SF @ NYG 34 - 24
Sep 21, 2023 NYG @ SF 12 - 30
Sep 27, 2020 SF @ NYG 36 - 9
Nov 12, 2018 NYG @ SF 27 - 23
Nov 12, 2017 NYG @ SF 21 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +25.0% more
New York: 111.6 vs San Francisco: 89.3
Turnovers (L5) +32.8% more
San Francisco: 1.3 vs New York: 0.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +9.9% more
San Francisco: 225.2 vs New York: 202.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 20.0 34
NYG Score 23.0 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.8 / 18.6 19.0 / 25.0
Net Passing Yards 202.8 / 225.2 179.0 / 221.0
Rushing Yards 111.6 / 89.3 117.0 / 159.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.42 / 0.55
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.45 / 0.55
Total Yards 314.4 / 314.4 296.0 / 380.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.3 0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.1 / 5.2 5.3 / 5.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
SF
NYG
SF
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
ATS
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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