Home / NFL Projections NFL / Chargers @ Titans LAC @ TEN

LOS ANGELES

CHARGERSLAC

5-3  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Nov 2 • 1:00 PM ET
Nissan Stadium
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

1-7  |  Home

20
Key Game
JK Scott
KEY GAME

JK Scott

#16 | Punter
@
Joey Slye
KEY GAME

Joey Slye

#6 | Place kicker
Player
JK Scott None-None
Joey Slye None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARGERS
0%
📊
TITANS
100%
CHARGERS --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Los Angeles)
ChargersLAC (-3.5) 0 TitansTEN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chargers Cover

88.8%

Titans Cover

11.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LAC -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

LAC By 1-6 points

10.7%

LAC By 7-13 points

17.5%

TEN By 1-6 points

5.9%

TEN By 7-13 points

3.2%

AI Model Projected Score
27
LOS ANGELES
10
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
20
LOS ANGELES
24
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chargers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Chargers (+10) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Titans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 37.0
D
Sim u43.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 2, 2025 LAC @ TEN 27 - 20
Nov 10, 2024 TEN @ LAC 17 - 27
Sep 17, 2023 LAC @ TEN 24 - 27
Dec 18, 2022 TEN @ LAC 14 - 17
Oct 20, 2019 LAC @ TEN 20 - 23
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +41.7% more
Los Angeles: 139.5 vs Tennessee: 81.4
Total Yards (L5) +29.5% more
Los Angeles: 400.6 vs Tennessee: 282.3
First Downs (L5) +27.7% more
Los Angeles: 24.0 vs Tennessee: 17.4
Net Passing Yards (L5) +23.0% more
Los Angeles: 261.1 vs Tennessee: 201.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 27.0 27
TEN Score 10.0 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.4 / 24.0 10.0 / 21.0
Net Passing Yards 201.0 / 261.1 118.0 / 212.0
Rushing Yards 81.4 / 139.5 88.0 / 131.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.5 0.11 / 0.54
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 282.3 / 400.6 206.0 / 343.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 1.4 0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 4.7 / 5.9 4.7 / 5.3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
0-3-1 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
TEN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -3.0
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEN
LAC
TEN
LAC
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1
0% 0-3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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