Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Commanders SEA @ WSH

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

5-2  |  Road

38
FINAL
Sun, Nov 2 • 8:20 PM ET
Northwest Stadium
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

COMMANDERSWSH

3-5  |  Home

14
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Tress Way
KEY GAME

Tress Way

#10 | Punter
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Tress Way None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
COMMANDERS
100%
SEAHAWKS --
COMMANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Seattle)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 CommandersWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

69.1%

Commanders Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-6 points

16.5%

SEA By 7-13 points

19.3%

WSH By 1-6 points

12.9%

WSH By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
31
SEATTLE
24
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
20
SEATTLE
27
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Commanders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Commanders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o48.5 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
D
Sim u48.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 SEA @ WSH 31 - 33
Nov 2, 2025 SEA @ WSH 38 - 14
Nov 12, 2023 WSH @ SEA 26 - 29
Nov 29, 2021 SEA @ WSH 15 - 17
Dec 20, 2020 SEA @ WSH 20 - 15
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +17.9% more
Seattle: 246.4 vs Washington: 202.4
Total Yards (L5) +10.1% more
Seattle: 352.1 vs Washington: 316.4
Turnovers (L5) +8.5% more
Seattle: 2.0 vs Washington: 1.8
Yards Per Play (L5) +8.0% more
Seattle: 6.0 vs Washington: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 31.0 38
WSH Score 24.0 14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.8 / 19.0 19.0 / 21.0
Net Passing Yards 202.4 / 246.4 133.0 / 330.0
Rushing Yards 114.1 / 105.7 157.0 / 88.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.46 / 0.64
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.55 / 0.46
Total Yards 316.4 / 352.1 290.0 / 418.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 2.0 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 6.0 4.7 / 8.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
WSH
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.5 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
WSH
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.5 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
WSH
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SEA
WSH
SEA
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
75% 3-1
50% 1-1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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