Home / NBA Projections NBA / Kings @ Bulls SAC @ CHI

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

1-3  |  Road

113
FINAL
Wed, Oct 29 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

3-0  |  Home

126
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
KINGS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Chicago)
KingsSAC (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

30.9%

Bulls Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

SAC By 1-7 points

18.6%

SAC By 8-14 points

8.0%

CHI By 1-7 points

27.2%

CHI By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
70
SACRAMENTO
75
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
109
SACRAMENTO
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (+5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u238.0 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u238.0 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 CHI @ SAC 110 - 126
Oct 29, 2025 SAC @ CHI 113 - 126
Mar 20, 2025 CHI @ SAC 128 - 116
Jan 12, 2025 SAC @ CHI 124 - 119
Mar 4, 2024 CHI @ SAC 113 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +31.2% more
Chicago: 3.0 vs Sacramento: 2.3
Assists (L5) +28.4% more
Chicago: 13.2 vs Sacramento: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +27.0% more
Chicago: 21.8 vs Sacramento: 17.2
Turnovers (L5) +20.8% more
Chicago: 7.6 vs Sacramento: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 70.0 113
CHI Score 75.0 126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 37.0 36.7 / 37.5
Assists 13.2 / 10.3 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.3 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 49.0 44.8 / 50.0
Free Throw % 3438.0 / 3200.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 21.8 / 17.2 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 3.4 / 4.0 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 7.6 / 6.3 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
CHI Advantage
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
SAC
CHI
SAC
ML
56% 54-42
55% 55-45
57% 46-35
61% 50-32
ATS
65% 62-33-1
54% 52-45-3
57% 46-35
61% 50-32
TTL
58% 56-40
58% 57-42-1
100% 81-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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