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PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

2-2  |  Road

136
FINAL
Wed, Oct 29 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

2-1  |  Home

134
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
📊
JAZZ
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Utah)
Trail BlazersPOR (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trail Blazers Cover

24.2%

Jazz Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

POR By 1-7 points

15.3%

POR By 8-14 points

5.8%

UTAH By 1-7 points

26.2%

UTAH By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
106
PORTLAND
113
UTAH
Simulated Score
108
PORTLAND
112
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jazz Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jazz (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u235.0 Loss
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim u235.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 UTAH @ POR 114 - 124
Feb 12, 2026 POR @ UTAH 135 - 119
Jan 5, 2026 UTAH @ POR 117 - 137
Oct 29, 2025 POR @ UTAH 136 - 134
Oct 16, 2025 POR @ UTAH 129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +65.1% more
Utah: 19.2 vs Portland: 11.7
Rebounding (L5) +59.3% more
Utah: 30.8 vs Portland: 19.3
Turnovers (L5) +34.1% more
Utah: 10.8 vs Portland: 8.1
Free Throw % (L5) +18.9%
Utah: 55.1% vs Portland: 36.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
POR Score 106.0 136
UTAH Score 113.0 134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.1 / 33.3 38.6 / 31.0
Assists 19.2 / 11.7 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.0 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 42.6 55.2 / 40.0
Free Throw % 5510.0 / 3619.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 30.8 / 19.3 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 5.6 / 4.9 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 8.1 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR Advantage
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
POR
UTAH
POR
ML
60% 96-63
53% 56-49
48% 40-43
55% 49-40
ATS
68% 108-51
62% 65-39-1
48% 40-43
55% 49-40
TTL
75% 119-39-1
56% 58-46-1
100% 83-0
100% 89-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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