ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
1-3 | Road
117
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
0-4 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
NETS
0%
HAWKS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
ATL By 1-7 points
18.6%
ATL By 8-14 points
8.0%
BKN By 1-7 points
27.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
106
ATLANTA
Brooklyn
111
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Atlanta
110
ATLANTA
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u238.5
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Sim
u238.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
ATL @ BKN
141 - 107
Mar 12, 2026
BKN @ ATL
97 - 108
Feb 22, 2026
BKN @ ATL
104 - 115
Oct 29, 2025
ATL @ BKN
117 - 112
Apr 10, 2025
ATL @ BKN
133 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+24.7% more
Brooklyn: 9.1
vs
Atlanta: 7.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Brooklyn: 37.1%
vs
Atlanta: 28.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Brooklyn: 45.7%
vs
Atlanta: 43.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
Brooklyn: 36.6%
vs
Atlanta: 34.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
106.0
117
BKN Score
111.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 28.5
35.0 / 28.6
Assists
11.9 / 11.7
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
0.8 / 2.7
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 43.5
44.3 / 42.2
Free Throw %
3661.0 / 3494.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
17.8 / 19.1
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
3.7 / 3.7
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 7.3
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
ATL
BKN
ATL
ML
53%
50-45
50%
52-52
59%
48-34
55%
48-40
ATS
52%
48-44-3
53%
55-48-1
59%
48-34
55%
48-40
TTL
57%
54-41
53%
55-48-1
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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