Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Wizards PHI @ WSH

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

3-0  |  Road

139
FINAL
Tue, Oct 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

1-2  |  Home

134
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
WIZARDS
100%
76ERS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Philadelphia)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

84.1%

Wizards Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

23.0%

PHI By 8-14 points

27.2%

WSH By 1-7 points

10.7%

WSH By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
111
PHILADELPHIA
101
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
105
PHILADELPHIA
118
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (+5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Wizards (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u238.5 Loss
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Sim u238.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 PHI @ WSH 153 - 131
Jan 7, 2026 WSH @ PHI 110 - 131
Dec 2, 2025 WSH @ PHI 102 - 121
Oct 28, 2025 PHI @ WSH 139 - 134
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ WSH 122 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +82.0% more
Washington: 33.2 vs Philadelphia: 18.3
Assists (L5) +70.1% more
Washington: 16.5 vs Philadelphia: 9.7
Blocks (L5) +65.9% more
Washington: 3.9 vs Philadelphia: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +45.8% more
Washington: 10.7 vs Philadelphia: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 111.0 139
WSH Score 101.0 134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 35.9 40.5 / 40.0
Assists 16.5 / 9.7 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.3 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 44.3 46.9 / 45.9
Free Throw % 4610.0 / 3351.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 18.3 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 5.0 / 3.6 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 7.4 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
PHI
WSH
PHI
ML
70% 112-49
63% 69-40
47% 39-44
48% 45-48
ATS
69% 111-49-1
65% 71-38
47% 39-44
48% 45-48
TTL
74% 119-41-1
55% 60-49
100% 83-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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