LA
CLIPPERSLAC
2-1 | Road
79
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
3-1 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
WARRIORS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
LAC By 1-7 points
18.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
8.0%
GS By 1-7 points
27.2%
GS By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
106
LA
Golden State
111
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
LA
115
LA
Golden State
118
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Warriors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Warriors (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u224.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Sim
u224.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
GS @ LAC
126 - 121
Apr 12, 2026
GS @ LAC
110 - 115
Mar 2, 2026
LAC @ GS
114 - 101
Jan 5, 2026
GS @ LAC
102 - 103
Oct 28, 2025
LAC @ GS
79 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+27.9% more
Golden State: 13.0
vs
LA: 10.2
Steals (L5)
+13.0% more
Golden State: 7.1
vs
LA: 6.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Golden State: 39.7%
vs
LA: 36.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.8%
Golden State: 54.1%
vs
LA: 52.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
106.0
79
GS Score
111.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 36.8
40.2 / 31.1
Assists
18.6 / 18.9
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.8
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 48.8
49.7 / 44.3
Free Throw %
5411.0 / 5227.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
28.2 / 27.6
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.3
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 10.2
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
LAC
GS
LAC
ML
55%
95-79
60%
59-40
58%
49-35
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
101-73
66%
65-33-1
58%
49-35
55%
45-37
TTL
77%
134-40
59%
58-40-1
100%
84-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…