COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
4-4-0 | Road
4
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
4-4-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 2.86 | 0.921 | -- |
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 3.82 | 0.897 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.86 Ldr
GAA
3.82
0.921 Ldr
Save %
0.897
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
SABRES
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 9, 2026
CBJ @ BUF
0 - 5
Jan 3, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
1 - 5
Oct 28, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
4 - 3
Sep 23, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+34.7% more
Buffalo: 16.5
vs
Columbus: 12.3
Power Play % (L5)
+3.2%
Buffalo: 19.1%
vs
Columbus: 15.9%
Hits (L5)
+29.3% more
Columbus: 24.6
vs
Buffalo: 17.4
Takeaways (L5)
+21.7% more
Columbus: 5.8
vs
Buffalo: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.0
4
BUF Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.5 / 12.3
20.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
39.8 / 47.8
43.1 / 56.9
Hits
17.4 / 24.6
13.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
19.1 / 15.9
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
29.0 / 34.9
38.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 5.8
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CBJ
BUF
CBJ
ML
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Matthew Knies Ignites Blue Jackets Debut with Record-Setting Per…
Buffalo Bills Face Backlash Over Water Bottle Policy at Highmark…
Islanders Miss Out on Kirill Marchenko as Maple Leafs Win Season…