NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
4-3-1 | Road
2
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
4-7-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Nikita Zadorov
#91 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 4.07 | 0.810 | -- |
| Nikita Zadorov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.07
GAA
--
0.810
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
BRUINS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Boston
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
BOS @ NYI
3 - 1
Nov 4, 2025
BOS @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 28, 2025
NYI @ BOS
2 - 5
Feb 27, 2025
NYI @ BOS
2 - 1
Jan 5, 2025
NYI @ BOS
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+30.8% more
Boston: 5.0
vs
New York: 3.8
Hits (L5)
+26.9% more
Boston: 26.3
vs
New York: 20.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.2% more
Boston: 17.6
vs
New York: 15.8
Power Play % (L5)
+7.1%
Boston: 20.4%
vs
New York: 13.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
2
BOS Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.6 / 15.8
14.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
52.1 / 49.5
55.8 / 44.2
Hits
26.3 / 20.7
20.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
20.4 / 13.2
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 28.0
22.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 3.8
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NYI
BOS
NYI
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
75%
3-1
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-4
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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