OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
5-4-1 | Road
3
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
4-3-2 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 6.09 | 0.760 | -- |
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 3.00 | 0.875 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.09
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.760
Save %
Ldr 0.875
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
BLACKHAWKS
0%
SENATORS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CHI By 1 goal
19.7%
CHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
1
OTTAWA
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blackhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
CHI @ OTT
4 - 6
Oct 28, 2025
OTT @ CHI
3 - 7
Apr 15, 2025
CHI @ OTT
4 - 3
Mar 5, 2025
OTT @ CHI
4 - 3
Mar 28, 2024
CHI @ OTT
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+31.6% more
Chicago: 5.1
vs
Ottawa: 3.9
Hits (L5)
+17.4% more
Chicago: 21.8
vs
Ottawa: 18.6
Power Play % (L5)
+41.3%
Ottawa: 53.7%
vs
Chicago: 12.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+35.0% more
Ottawa: 17.2
vs
Chicago: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
1.0
3
CHI Score
2.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.2 / 17.2
15.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
50.4 / 56.1
43.8 / 56.3
Hits
21.8 / 18.6
34.0 / 32.0
Power Play %
12.3 / 53.7
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.3 / 28.2
26.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 3.9
10.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
OTT
CHI
OTT
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1-1
67%
2-1
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