Home / NHL Projections NHL / Rangers @ Canucks NYR @ VAN

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

3-5-2  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Oct 28 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

5-5-0  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Jonathan Quick
GOALTENDER

Jonathan Quick

#32 | Goaltender
@
Thatcher Demko
GOALTENDER

Thatcher Demko

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jonathan Quick None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Thatcher Demko None-None 1.05 0.958 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 1.05
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.958
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
📊
CANUCKS
100%
RANGERS --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

30.9%

Canucks Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

NYR By 1 goal

19.7%

NYR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

VAN By 1 goal

12.1%

VAN By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
NEW YORK
2
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canucks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canucks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Canucks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 VAN @ NYR 3 - 0
Oct 28, 2025 NYR @ VAN 2 - 0
Mar 22, 2025 VAN @ NYR 3 - 5
Nov 19, 2024 NYR @ VAN 4 - 3
Jan 8, 2024 VAN @ NYR 6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +33.9% more
New York: 5.7 vs Vancouver: 3.7
Hits (L5) +23.8% more
New York: 26.6 vs Vancouver: 20.3
Faceoff % (L5) +7.5%
New York: 53.6% vs Vancouver: 46.2%
Power Play % (L5) +16.9%
Vancouver: 28.5% vs New York: 11.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 3.0 2
VAN Score 2.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.6 / 16.1 10.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 46.2 / 53.6 44.7 / 55.3
Hits 20.3 / 26.6 19.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 2845.0 / 1154.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.7 / 28.2 23.0 / 25.0
Takeaways 3.7 / 5.7 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
72%MONEY28%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
NYR
VAN
NYR
ML
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
TTL
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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