Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Old Dominion @ UL Monroe ODU @ ULM

OLD DOMINION

OLD DOMINIONODU

5-3  |  Road

31
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 3:30 PM ET
Malone Stadium
View Odds Details →

UL MONROE

UL MONROEULM

3-5  |  Home

6
Key Game
Ian Brandt
KEY GAME

Ian Brandt

#96 | Punter
@
Makenzie Ryan
KEY GAME

Makenzie Ryan

#47 | Punter
Player
Ian Brandt None-None
Makenzie Ryan None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OLD DOMINION
0%
📊
UL MONROE
100%
OLD DOMINION --
UL MONROE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Old Dominion)
Old DominionODU (-3.5) 0 UL MonroeULM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Old Dominion Cover

99.9%

UL Monroe Cover

0.1%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around ODU -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)

ODU By 1-6 points

0.2%

ODU By 7-13 points

0.9%

ULM By 1-6 points

0.0%

ULM By 7-13 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
45
OLD DOMINION
0
UL MONROE
Simulated Score
20
OLD DOMINION
31
UL MONROE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Old Dominion Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim UL Monroe Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Old Dominion (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
C
Sim UL Monroe (-16.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u55.5 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Sim u55.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2025 ODU @ ULM 31 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +27.5% more
Old Dominion: 439.4 vs UL Monroe: 318.5
First Downs (L5) +11.0% more
Old Dominion: 21.3 vs UL Monroe: 19.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 45.0 31
ULM Score 0.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.0 / 21.3 11.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 160.4 / 171.1 132.0 / 160.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 318.5 / 439.4 293.0 / 391.0
Turnovers 2.4 / 2.3 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
ULM Advantage
3-9-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -15.3 ATS +/-: -8.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
ULM Advantage
4-8-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -15.3 ATS +/-: -8.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.3
ULM
6-6-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ULM
ODU
ULM
ODU
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
ATS
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
TTL
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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