Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Wyoming @ San Diego St WYO @ SDSU

WYOMING

WYOMINGWYO

4-4  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Snapdragon Stadium
View Odds Details →

SAN DIEGO STATE

SAN DIEGO STSDSU

6-1  |  Home

24
Key Game
Bart Edmiston
KEY GAME

Bart Edmiston

#18 | Punter
@
Krishna Clay
KEY GAME

Krishna Clay

#11 | Defensive Lineman
Player
Bart Edmiston None-None
Krishna Clay None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WYOMING
100%
📊
SAN DIEGO ST
0%
WYOMING --
SAN DIEGO ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
SAN DIEGO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (San Diego State)
WyomingWYO (-3.5) 0 San Diego StSDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wyoming Cover

6.7%

San Diego St Cover

93.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SDSU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDSU)

WYO By 1-6 points

3.8%

WYO By 7-13 points

1.8%

SDSU By 1-6 points

7.9%

SDSU By 7-13 points

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
10
WYOMING
31
SAN DIEGO STATE
Simulated Score
20
WYOMING
24
SAN DIEGO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI San Diego St Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim San Diego St Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI San Diego St (-10) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Sim San Diego St (-10) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u42.5 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
C
Sim o42.5 Loss
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2025 WYO @ SDSU 7 - 24
Oct 12, 2024 SDSU @ WYO 27 - 24
Oct 12, 2019 WYO @ SDSU 22 - 26
Dec 3, 2016 SDSU @ WYO 27 - 24
Nov 19, 2016 SDSU @ WYO 33 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +15.6% more
San Diego State: 198.3 vs Wyoming: 171.6
Turnovers (L5) +34.8% more
Wyoming: 1.4 vs San Diego State: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WYO Score 10.0 7
SDSU Score 31.0 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.2 / 20.6 15.0 / 9.0
Rushing Yards 198.3 / 171.6 196.0 / 89.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.17 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards 372.4 / 377.4 390.0 / 185.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.4 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
SDSU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -7.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
SDSU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -7.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
SDSU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDSU
WYO
SDSU
WYO
ML
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
ATS
80% 4-1
20% 1-4
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
TTL
20% 1-4
0% 0-5
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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