MEMPHIS
MEMPHISMEM
7-1 | Road
38
RICE
RICERICE
4-4 | Home
14
Key Game
KEY GAME
Taylor Burton
#90 | Defensive Lineman@
KEY GAME
Enock Gota
#28 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Taylor Burton | None-None |
| Enock Gota | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
MEMPHIS
0%
RICE
100%
MEMPHIS
--
RICE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around MEM -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
MEM By 1-6 points
2.5%
MEM By 7-13 points
6.6%
RICE By 1-6 points
0.9%
RICE By 7-13 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
38
MEMPHIS
Rice
7
RICE
Simulated Score
Memphis
20
MEMPHIS
Rice
38
RICE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Memphis
Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim
Rice
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Memphis (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
B
Sim
Rice (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 45.0
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 58.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 31, 2025
MEM @ RICE
38 - 14
Nov 8, 2024
RICE @ MEM
20 - 27
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5)
+32.6% more
Memphis: 25.6
vs
Rice: 17.3
Turnovers (L5)
+25.0% more
Memphis: 0.8
vs
Rice: 0.6
Total Yards (L5)
+15.3% more
Memphis: 436.1
vs
Rice: 369.3
Rushing Yards (L5)
+33.1% more
Rice: 231.2
vs
Memphis: 173.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
38.0
38
RICE Score
7.0
14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
17.3 / 25.6
13.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards
231.2 / 173.8
112.0 / 130.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.19 / 0.4
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards
369.3 / 436.1
212.0 / 355.0
Turnovers
0.6 / 0.8
2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 16.2
ATS +/-: +6.5
RICE
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -9.4
ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 16.2
ATS +/-: +6.5
RICE
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -9.4
ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +6.1
RICE
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICE
MEM
RICE
MEM
ML
100%
5-0
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
ATS
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
TTL
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
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