Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Marshall @ Coastal MRSH @ CCU

MARSHALL

MARSHALLMRSH

4-3  |  Road

27
FINAL
Thu, Oct 30 • 7:30 PM ET
Brooks Stadium (SC)
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

COASTALCCU

4-3  |  Home

44
Key Game
Louikenzy Jules
KEY GAME

Louikenzy Jules

#12 | Defensive Back
@
Tray Brown
KEY GAME

Tray Brown

#55 | Linebacker
Player
Louikenzy Jules None-None
Tray Brown None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
MARSHALL
0%
📊
COASTAL
100%
MARSHALL --
COASTAL --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
61.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
MARSHALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Marshall)
MarshallMRSH (-3.5) 0 CoastalCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Marshall Cover

85.8%

Coastal Cover

14.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around MRSH -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRSH)

MRSH By 1-6 points

12.2%

MRSH By 7-13 points

18.5%

CCU By 1-6 points

7.2%

CCU By 7-13 points

4.1%

AI Model Projected Score
38
MARSHALL
23
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
27
MARSHALL
31
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Marshall Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Coastal Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Marshall (+6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
B
Sim Coastal (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o54.5 Win
Proj Total: 61.0
B
Sim o54.5 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 30, 2025 MRSH @ CCU 27 - 44
Nov 16, 2024 CCU @ MRSH 19 - 31
Oct 28, 2023 MRSH @ CCU 6 - 34
Oct 29, 2022 CCU @ MRSH 24 - 13
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +23.4% more
Marshall: 23.9 vs Coastal Carolina: 18.3
Total Yards (L5) +22.8% more
Marshall: 437.8 vs Coastal Carolina: 338.0
Turnovers (L5) +72.0% more
Coastal Carolina: 1.5 vs Marshall: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MRSH Score 38.0 27
CCU Score 23.0 44
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.3 / 23.9 16.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards 202.9 / 205.6 214.0 / 279.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 338.0 / 437.8 410.0 / 432.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 0.8 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRSH Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -12.8 ATS +/-: -13.1
CCU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRSH
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.8 ATS +/-: -13.1
CCU Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MRSH
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +2.5
CCU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
MRSH
CCU
MRSH
ML
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
ATS
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
TTL
25% 1-3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2-1
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Michigan Tight End Zack Marshall Issues Apology for Leaked Messa…
yahoo 1 day, 23 hours ago
Johnson's Fourth-Quarter Heroics Propel Georgia Southern Over Co…
abcnews 4 days, 17 hours ago
Mississippi State vs Alabama: Heavy Rain and Storms Threaten Wee…
yahoo 6 days, 23 hours ago
West Virginia Football Fans Build Unbreakable Bonds Through Tail…
wvnews 1 week, 1 day ago
Nebraska's Blackshirts Dominate Michigan State: Snap Counts and …
si 1 week, 4 days ago