TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
1-2 | Road
103
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
3-0 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
SPURS
0%
RAPTORS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
TOR By 1-7 points
6.8%
TOR By 8-14 points
1.7%
SA By 1-7 points
18.6%
SA By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
98
TORONTO
San Antonio
111
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Toronto
107
TORONTO
San Antonio
112
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (-5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
SA @ TOR
110 - 107
Oct 27, 2025
TOR @ SA
103 - 121
Apr 13, 2025
TOR @ SA
118 - 125
Mar 23, 2025
SA @ TOR
123 - 89
Feb 12, 2024
SA @ TOR
122 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+68.4% more
San Antonio: 4.6
vs
Toronto: 2.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
San Antonio: 36.6%
vs
Toronto: 30.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
San Antonio: 52.0%
vs
Toronto: 50.4%
Steals (L5)
+13.7% more
Toronto: 6.9
vs
San Antonio: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
98.0
103
SA Score
111.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 30.7
40.0 / 24.0
Assists
17.3 / 19.3
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.7
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
52.0 / 50.4
57.5 / 56.8
Free Throw %
4637.0 / 5113.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 31.7
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.9
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 10.8
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
TOR
SA
TOR
ML
60%
111-73
55%
57-47
58%
61-44
55%
48-39
ATS
58%
107-76-1
61%
62-40-2
58%
61-44
55%
48-39
TTL
74%
134-47-3
60%
62-42
100%
105-0
100%
87-0
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