Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Pistons CLE @ DET

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

2-1  |  Road

116
FINAL
Mon, Oct 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

2-1  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
📊
PISTONS
0%
CAVALIERS --
PISTONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
194.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Detroit)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 PistonsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

0.3%

Pistons Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

CLE By 1-7 points

0.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

0.0%

DET By 1-7 points

1.7%

DET By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
83
CLEVELAND
111
DETROIT
Simulated Score
108
CLEVELAND
115
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pistons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pistons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pistons (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Pistons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 194.0
D
Sim u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 17, 2026 CLE @ DET 125 - 94
May 15, 2026 DET @ CLE 115 - 94
May 13, 2026 CLE @ DET 117 - 113
May 11, 2026 DET @ CLE 103 - 112
May 9, 2026 DET @ CLE 109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +67.3% more
Detroit: 6.2 vs Cleveland: 3.7
Rebounding (L5) +19.5% more
Detroit: 30.2 vs Cleveland: 25.3
Steals (L5) +27.5% more
Cleveland: 8.0 vs Detroit: 5.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Cleveland: 39.3% vs Detroit: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 83.0 116
DET Score 111.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 39.3 29.2 / 41.3
Assists 18.2 / 18.1 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 6.2 / 3.7 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 47.0 44.3 / 46.5
Free Throw % 4655.0 / 4705.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 30.2 / 25.3 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 5.8 / 8.0 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 11.2 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
DET Advantage
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
55% 64-53
60% 69-46
49% 47-49
56% 55-44
ATS
53% 60-54-3
67% 75-37-3
49% 47-49
56% 55-44
TTL
60% 70-46-1
59% 68-47
100% 96-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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