Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ 76ers ORL @ PHI

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

1-2  |  Road

124
FINAL
Mon, Oct 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

2-0  |  Home

136
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
MAGIC --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
194.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Philadelphia)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

0.3%

76ers Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

ORL By 1-7 points

0.2%

ORL By 8-14 points

0.0%

PHI By 1-7 points

1.7%

PHI By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
83
ORLANDO
111
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
110
ORLANDO
107
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Magic Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Magic (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u227.0 Loss
Proj Total: 194.0
D
Sim u227.0 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 15, 2026 ORL @ PHI 97 - 109
Jan 9, 2026 PHI @ ORL 103 - 91
Nov 25, 2025 ORL @ PHI 144 - 103
Oct 27, 2025 ORL @ PHI 124 - 136
Oct 10, 2025 ORL @ PHI 128 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +9.0% more
Philadelphia: 5.4 vs Orlando: 4.9
Rebounding (L5) +11.7% more
Orlando: 31.0 vs Philadelphia: 27.4
Turnovers (L5) +9.0% more
Orlando: 12.1 vs Philadelphia: 11.0
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Orlando: 47.1% vs Philadelphia: 43.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 83.0 124
PHI Score 111.0 136
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 36.3 40.0 / 40.0
Assists 14.6 / 15.8 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.7 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 47.1 45.9 / 46.7
Free Throw % 5026.0 / 5047.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 27.4 / 31.0 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 5.4 / 4.9 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 12.1 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ORL
PHI
ORL
ML
63% 69-40
61% 65-42
48% 45-48
56% 51-40
ATS
65% 71-38
64% 68-38-1
48% 45-48
56% 51-40
TTL
55% 60-49
57% 61-46
100% 93-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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