BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
0-3 | Road
109
HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
0-2 | Home
137
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
ROCKETS
0%
NETS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
BKN By 1-7 points
1.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
0.3%
HOU By 1-7 points
8.0%
HOU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
106
BROOKLYN
Houston
126
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Houston
116
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockets (-15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Rockets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.0
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 1, 2026
HOU @ BKN
120 - 96
Oct 27, 2025
BKN @ HOU
109 - 137
Feb 4, 2025
HOU @ BKN
97 - 99
Feb 1, 2025
BKN @ HOU
110 - 98
Jan 27, 2024
HOU @ BKN
104 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+268.0% more
Houston: 4.5
vs
Brooklyn: 1.2
Steals (L5)
+100.7% more
Houston: 11.0
vs
Brooklyn: 5.5
Rebounding (L5)
+77.5% more
Houston: 47.4
vs
Brooklyn: 26.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+27.3%
Houston: 82.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 54.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
106.0
109
HOU Score
126.0
137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 38.2
28.2 / 35.0
Assists
21.8 / 17.9
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
4.5 / 1.2
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 46.4
44.3 / 44.3
Free Throw %
8217.0 / 5491.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
47.4 / 26.7
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
11.0 / 5.5
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 13.7
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
BKN
HOU
BKN
ML
61%
69-44
53%
50-45
59%
51-35
59%
48-34
ATS
62%
70-43
52%
48-44-3
59%
51-35
59%
48-34
TTL
51%
58-55
57%
54-41
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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