ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
1-2 | Road
123
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
2-0 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
BULLS
0%
HAWKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
ATL By 1-7 points
18.6%
ATL By 8-14 points
8.0%
CHI By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
106
ATLANTA
Chicago
111
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Atlanta
105
ATLANTA
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u242.0
Loss
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Sim
u242.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
CHI @ ATL
126 - 123
Dec 21, 2025
CHI @ ATL
152 - 150
Oct 27, 2025
ATL @ CHI
123 - 128
Jan 15, 2025
ATL @ CHI
110 - 94
Dec 26, 2024
CHI @ ATL
133 - 141
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+14.0% more
Chicago: 32.7
vs
Atlanta: 28.7
Assists (L5)
+13.6% more
Chicago: 19.9
vs
Atlanta: 17.5
Blocks (L5)
+11.8% more
Chicago: 4.6
vs
Atlanta: 4.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Chicago: 33.6%
vs
Atlanta: 28.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
106.0
123
CHI Score
111.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 28.4
36.7 / 28.6
Assists
19.9 / 17.5
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.1
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 44.2
44.8 / 42.2
Free Throw %
5157.0 / 5240.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 28.7
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
5.1 / 5.6
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 11.0
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
ATL
CHI
ATL
ML
56%
54-42
50%
52-52
57%
46-35
55%
48-40
ATS
65%
62-33-1
53%
55-48-1
57%
46-35
55%
48-40
TTL
58%
56-40
53%
55-48-1
100%
81-0
100%
88-0
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