Home / NBA Projections NBA / Celtics @ Pelicans BOS @ NO

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

0-3  |  Road

122
FINAL
Mon, Oct 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

0-2  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
100%
📊
PELICANS
0%
CELTICS --
PELICANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New Orleans)
CelticsBOS (-3.5) 0 PelicansNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Celtics Cover

34.5%

Pelicans Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NO -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

BOS By 1-7 points

20.1%

BOS By 8-14 points

9.3%

NO By 1-7 points

27.4%

NO By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
107
BOSTON
111
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
110
BOSTON
120
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pelicans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pelicans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pelicans (-2) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Pelicans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 NO @ BOS 118 - 144
Oct 27, 2025 BOS @ NO 122 - 90
Jan 31, 2025 BOS @ NO 118 - 116
Jan 12, 2025 NO @ BOS 119 - 120
Mar 30, 2024 BOS @ NO 104 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +69.2% more
New Orleans: 23.2 vs Boston: 13.7
Rebounding (L5) +53.0% more
New Orleans: 45.3 vs Boston: 29.6
Steals (L5) +44.0% more
New Orleans: 8.9 vs Boston: 6.2
Turnovers (L5) +39.0% more
New Orleans: 15.1 vs Boston: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 107.0 122
NO Score 111.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 29.5 37.0 / 25.6
Assists 23.2 / 13.7 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.6 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 44.3 45.9 / 45.1
Free Throw % 7804.0 / 5245.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 45.3 / 29.6 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 8.9 / 6.2 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 10.8 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
NO
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
BOS
NO
BOS
ML
62% 98-61
57% 61-46
58% 48-35
53% 47-41
ATS
68% 107-51-1
59% 61-43-3
58% 48-35
53% 47-41
TTL
75% 119-40
56% 60-47
100% 83-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 6 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 5 hours, 46 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 5 hours, 57 minutes ago
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 6 hours ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 12 hours, 13 minutes ago