Home / NBA Projections NBA / Suns @ Jazz PHX @ UTAH

PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

1-2  |  Road

134
FINAL
Mon, Oct 27 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

1-1  |  Home

138
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
SUNS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
262.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Phoenix)
SunsPHX (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Suns Cover

94.5%

Jazz Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)

PHX By 1-7 points

13.7%

PHX By 8-14 points

24.3%

UTAH By 1-7 points

4.0%

UTAH By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
139
PHOENIX
123
UTAH
Simulated Score
109
PHOENIX
118
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Suns Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Suns (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o230.5 Win
Proj Total: 262.0
D
Sim u230.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 UTAH @ PHX 109 - 134
Oct 31, 2025 UTAH @ PHX 96 - 118
Oct 27, 2025 PHX @ UTAH 134 - 138
Feb 7, 2025 UTAH @ PHX 127 - 135
Jan 11, 2025 UTAH @ PHX 106 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +73.1% more
Utah: 28.9 vs Phoenix: 16.7
Rebounding (L5) +66.5% more
Utah: 46.2 vs Phoenix: 27.8
Turnovers (L5) +50.8% more
Utah: 16.2 vs Phoenix: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5) +36.3%
Utah: 82.7% vs Phoenix: 46.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHX Score 139.0 134
UTAH Score 123.0 138
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 31.8 38.6 / 29.4
Assists 28.9 / 16.7 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.6 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 45.3 55.2 / 47.4
Free Throw % 8265.0 / 4634.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 46.2 / 27.8 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 8.3 / 7.2 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 16.2 / 10.8 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
PHX
UTAH
PHX
ML
60% 96-63
57% 60-45
48% 40-43
51% 45-43
ATS
68% 108-51
58% 59-43-3
48% 40-43
51% 45-43
TTL
75% 119-39-1
59% 61-42-2
100% 83-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
headtopics 22 hours, 8 minutes ago
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
chicago_suntimes 22 hours, 35 minutes ago
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
yahoo 1 day, 3 hours ago
Nuggets' Bench Sparks 117-106 Preseason Win Over Jazz, Led by Di…
si 1 day, 21 hours ago
Nuggets Secure First Preseason Win Over Jazz: Braun, Gordon Impr…
gazette 1 day, 21 hours ago