ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
3-4-1 | Road
3
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
6-2-1 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 5.01 | 0.800 | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.01
GAA
--
0.800
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
PENGUINS
0%
BLUES
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
STL By 1 goal
6.6%
STL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
PIT By 1 goal
17.5%
PIT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
1
ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
PIT @ STL
5 - 7
Oct 27, 2025
STL @ PIT
3 - 6
Apr 3, 2025
PIT @ STL
4 - 5
Mar 13, 2025
STL @ PIT
3 - 5
Dec 30, 2023
STL @ PIT
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+42.7% more
Pittsburgh: 17.8
vs
St. Louis: 12.5
Power Play % (L5)
+14.2%
Pittsburgh: 43.6%
vs
St. Louis: 29.4%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.9%
Pittsburgh: 53.2%
vs
St. Louis: 51.3%
Hits (L5)
+28.9% more
St. Louis: 24.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 17.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
1.0
3
PIT Score
3.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.8 / 12.5
20.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
53.2 / 51.3
44.7 / 55.3
Hits
17.1 / 24.0
9.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
4357.0 / 2941.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.8 / 24.6
26.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 4.3
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
STL
PIT
STL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
Contextual Game News
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