BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
4-6-0 | Road
2
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
4-4-1 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 7.01 | 0.696 | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
7.01
GAA
--
0.696
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
SENATORS
0%
BRUINS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
BOS By 1 goal
6.6%
BOS By 2-3 goals
3.7%
OTT By 1 goal
17.5%
OTT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
1
BOSTON
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
OTT @ BOS
4 - 1
Dec 21, 2025
OTT @ BOS
6 - 2
Nov 13, 2025
BOS @ OTT
3 - 5
Nov 6, 2025
OTT @ BOS
2 - 3
Oct 27, 2025
BOS @ OTT
2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.3% more
Ottawa: 30.8
vs
Boston: 27.4
Power Play % (L5)
+9.9%
Ottawa: 40.5%
vs
Boston: 30.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.4% more
Boston: 21.8
vs
Ottawa: 16.3
Hits (L5)
+20.0% more
Boston: 22.9
vs
Ottawa: 18.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
1.0
2
OTT Score
3.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 21.8
19.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
55.9 / 56.4
56.7 / 43.3
Hits
18.3 / 22.9
19.0 / 33.0
Power Play %
40.5 / 30.6
80.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.8 / 27.4
23.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 5.0
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
BOS
OTT
BOS
ML
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
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