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DALLAS

STARSDAL

4-3-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Oct 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Bridgestone Arena
View Odds Details →

NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

4-3-2  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
@
Justus Annunen
GOALTENDER

Justus Annunen

#29 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Casey DeSmith None-None 2.00 0.920 --
Justus Annunen None-None 3.10 0.893 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.10
0.920 Ldr Save % 0.893
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
PREDATORS
0%
STARS --
PREDATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Nashville)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 PredatorsNSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

30.9%

Predators Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)

DAL By 1 goal

12.1%

DAL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

NSH By 1 goal

19.7%

NSH By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
DALLAS
3
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Predators Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Predators Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Predators (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Predators (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 DAL @ NSH 1 - 2
Feb 28, 2026 NSH @ DAL 2 - 3
Nov 8, 2025 DAL @ NSH 5 - 4
Oct 26, 2025 DAL @ NSH 3 - 2
Apr 16, 2025 DAL @ NSH 1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +78.9% more
Nashville: 6.9 vs Dallas: 3.8
Faceoff % (L5) +4.8%
Nashville: 53.9% vs Dallas: 49.1%
Power Play % (L5) +30.2%
Dallas: 34.5% vs Nashville: 4.3%
Blocked Shots (L5) +23.5% more
Dallas: 20.3 vs Nashville: 15.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 2.0 3
NSH Score 3.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.5 / 20.3 6.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 53.9 / 49.1 49.2 / 50.8
Hits 20.2 / 24.1 29.0 / 23.0
Power Play % 4.3 / 34.5 50.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal 28.3 / 29.3 25.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 6.9 / 3.8 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
53%MONEY47%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
DAL
NSH
DAL
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-3
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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