Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ Kings LAL @ SAC

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

1-1  |  Road

127
FINAL
Sun, Oct 26 • 9:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

1-1  |  Home

120
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
📊
KINGS
0%
LAKERS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Sacramento)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 KingsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

9.7%

Kings Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

LAL By 1-7 points

6.8%

LAL By 8-14 points

1.7%

SAC By 1-7 points

18.6%

SAC By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
106
LOS ANGELES
119
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
115
LOS ANGELES
118
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u225.0 Loss
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim u225.0 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 SAC @ LAL 104 - 128
Jan 12, 2026 LAL @ SAC 112 - 124
Dec 28, 2025 SAC @ LAL 101 - 125
Oct 26, 2025 LAL @ SAC 127 - 120
Dec 28, 2024 SAC @ LAL 122 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.0% more
Sacramento: 8.9 vs Los Angeles: 6.5
Blocks (L5) +22.4% more
Sacramento: 5.2 vs Los Angeles: 4.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Sacramento: 36.5% vs Los Angeles: 34.0%
Turnovers (L5) +15.4% more
Los Angeles: 16.7 vs Sacramento: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 106.0 127
SAC Score 119.0 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.5 / 34.0 37.5 / 25.0
Assists 23.2 / 23.7 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 5.2 / 4.2 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 51.0 50.0 / 54.5
Free Throw % 7199.0 / 7516.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 38.6 / 41.0 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 8.9 / 6.5 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 16.7 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
13%MONEY87%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
LAL
SAC
LAL
ML
55% 55-45
61% 68-43
61% 50-32
54% 49-42
ATS
54% 52-45-3
61% 67-43-1
61% 50-32
54% 49-42
TTL
58% 57-42-1
61% 66-43-2
100% 82-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 2 hours, 17 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 8 hours, 16 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Primed for MVP-Caliber Season with Lakers After Offs…
nypost 1 day, 2 hours ago
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
bleacherreport 1 day, 8 hours ago
JJ Redick Sets Record Straight on Lakers 'Pieces Fit' Comment Af…
bleacherreport 1 day, 8 hours ago