BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
0-2 | Road
113
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
1-1 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
100%
PISTONS
0%
CELTICS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
BOS By 1-7 points
15.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
5.8%
DET By 1-7 points
26.2%
DET By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
109
BOSTON
Detroit
116
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Boston
102
BOSTON
Detroit
118
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (-3)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u225.5
Loss
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
BOS @ DET
103 - 104
Dec 15, 2025
DET @ BOS
112 - 105
Nov 26, 2025
DET @ BOS
114 - 117
Oct 26, 2025
BOS @ DET
113 - 119
Feb 26, 2025
BOS @ DET
97 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.7% more
Detroit: 9.3
vs
Boston: 6.8
Assists (L5)
+33.0% more
Detroit: 27.3
vs
Boston: 20.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Detroit: 35.8%
vs
Boston: 31.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Detroit: 47.2%
vs
Boston: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
109.0
113
DET Score
116.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 31.5
29.2 / 25.6
Assists
27.3 / 20.5
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
9.3 / 6.8
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 43.9
44.3 / 45.1
Free Throw %
6982.0 / 7867.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
45.3 / 44.4
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
8.7 / 9.3
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 16.3
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
BOS
DET
BOS
ML
55%
64-53
57%
61-46
49%
47-49
53%
47-41
ATS
53%
60-54-3
59%
61-43-3
49%
47-49
53%
47-41
TTL
60%
70-46-1
56%
60-47
100%
96-0
100%
88-0
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