Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Wizards CHA @ WSH

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

1-1  |  Road

139
FINAL
Sun, Oct 26 • 6:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

1-1  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
WIZARDS
0%
HORNETS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Washington)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

11.5%

Wizards Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

CHA By 1-7 points

8.0%

CHA By 8-14 points

2.2%

WSH By 1-7 points

20.1%

WSH By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
113
CHARLOTTE
125
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
105
CHARLOTTE
112
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wizards Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wizards (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Wizards (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u238.5 Loss
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim u238.5 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 CHA @ WSH 129 - 112
Jan 24, 2026 WSH @ CHA 115 - 119
Dec 23, 2025 WSH @ CHA 109 - 126
Oct 26, 2025 CHA @ WSH 139 - 113
Mar 1, 2025 WSH @ CHA 113 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +130.3% more
Washington: 5.8 vs Charlotte: 2.5
Steals (L5) +67.7% more
Washington: 7.5 vs Charlotte: 4.5
Rebounding (L5) +45.8% more
Washington: 49.9 vs Charlotte: 34.2
Turnovers (L5) +35.0% more
Washington: 16.1 vs Charlotte: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 113.0 139
WSH Score 125.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 42.7 40.5 / 47.2
Assists 24.8 / 19.4 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 5.8 / 2.5 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 50.0 46.9 / 53.3
Free Throw % 6916.0 / 4759.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 49.9 / 34.2 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 7.5 / 4.5 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 16.1 / 11.9 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
75%MONEY25%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CHA
WSH
CHA
ML
70% 112-49
61% 60-39
47% 39-44
48% 40-44
ATS
69% 111-49-1
60% 59-40
47% 39-44
48% 40-44
TTL
74% 119-41-1
58% 57-42
100% 83-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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