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PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

1-1  |  Road

107
FINAL
Sun, Oct 26 • 9:00 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

1-1  |  Home

114
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
📊
CLIPPERS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (LA)
Trail BlazersPOR (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trail Blazers Cover

0.6%

Clippers Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

POR By 1-7 points

0.5%

POR By 8-14 points

0.1%

LAC By 1-7 points

3.3%

LAC By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
99
PORTLAND
124
LA
Simulated Score
108
PORTLAND
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Clippers (-8) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Clippers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u224.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim u224.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 LAC @ POR 97 - 116
Mar 31, 2026 POR @ LAC 114 - 104
Dec 26, 2025 LAC @ POR 119 - 103
Oct 26, 2025 POR @ LAC 107 - 114
Jan 16, 2025 LAC @ POR 118 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +24.6% more
LA: 5.6 vs Portland: 4.5
Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
LA: 51.0% vs Portland: 45.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
LA: 39.7% vs Portland: 36.2%
Turnovers (L5) +16.1% more
Portland: 18.1 vs LA: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
POR Score 99.0 107
LAC Score 124.0 114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.7 / 36.2 31.1 / 31.0
Assists 28.3 / 26.2 0.0 / 0.0
Blocks 5.6 / 4.5 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 51.0 / 45.9 44.3 / 40.0
Free Throw % 7840.0 / 8142.0 0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 41.5 / 43.5 0.0 / 0.0
Steals 9.4 / 11.0 0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 15.2 / 18.1 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
POR
LAC
POR
ML
60% 59-40
53% 56-49
55% 45-37
55% 49-40
ATS
66% 65-33-1
62% 65-39-1
55% 45-37
55% 49-40
TTL
59% 58-40-1
56% 58-46-1
100% 82-0
100% 89-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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