Home / NHL Projections NHL / Sharks @ Wild SJ @ MIN

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

1-5-2  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sun, Oct 26 • 6:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

3-5-1  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
@
Jesper Wallstedt
GOALTENDER

Jesper Wallstedt

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 4.70 0.848 --
Jesper Wallstedt None-None 5.68 0.760 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.70 Ldr GAA 5.68
0.848 Ldr Save % 0.760
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
WILD
0%
SHARKS --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
SharksSJ (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

30.9%

Wild Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

SJ By 1 goal

12.1%

SJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MIN By 1 goal

19.7%

MIN By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
SAN JOSE
4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
2
SAN JOSE
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wild Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wild (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Wild (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 31, 2025 MIN @ SJ 3 - 4
Nov 11, 2025 SJ @ MIN 2 - 1
Oct 26, 2025 SJ @ MIN 6 - 5
Apr 9, 2025 SJ @ MIN 7 - 8
Jan 11, 2025 MIN @ SJ 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +28.7% more
Minnesota: 25.2 vs San Jose: 19.6
Shots on Goal (L5) +28.5% more
Minnesota: 30.2 vs San Jose: 23.5
Blocked Shots (L5) +9.4% more
San Jose: 16.4 vs Minnesota: 14.9
Power Play % (L5) +5.7%
San Jose: 19.9% vs Minnesota: 14.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 3.0 6
MIN Score 4.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.9 / 16.4 12.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 50.8 / 51.9 47.5 / 52.5
Hits 25.2 / 19.6 17.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 14.2 / 19.9 50.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 30.2 / 23.5 33.0 / 25.0
Takeaways 2.8 / 3.0 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
86%MONEY14%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SJ
MIN
SJ
ML
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
TTL
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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