UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
7-2-0 | Road
3
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
6-2-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dmitri Simashev
#26 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmitri Simashev | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 3.04 | 0.906 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.04
--
Save %
0.906
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
JETS
0%
MAMMOTH
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
UTA By 1 goal
12.1%
UTA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
WPG By 1 goal
19.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Utah
3
UTAH
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
WPG @ UTA
3 - 5
Dec 21, 2025
WPG @ UTA
3 - 4
Oct 26, 2025
UTA @ WPG
3 - 2
Apr 5, 2025
WPG @ UTA
1 - 4
Jan 24, 2025
UTA @ WPG
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+22.1% more
Winnipeg: 21.2
vs
Utah: 17.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.3%
Winnipeg: 56.2%
vs
Utah: 47.9%
Power Play % (L5)
+30.1%
Utah: 56.8%
vs
Winnipeg: 26.8%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.8% more
Utah: 32.8
vs
Winnipeg: 28.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
2.0
3
WPG Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 16.3
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
56.2 / 47.9
52.9 / 47.1
Hits
21.2 / 17.3
25.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
26.8 / 56.8
100.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 32.8
30.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 3.8
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
UTA
WPG
UTA
ML
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
ATS
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
100%
4-0
60%
3-2
TTL
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
Contextual Game News
