NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
3-4-2 | Road
1
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
1-7-1 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 5.00 | 0.833 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 1.00 | 0.968 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.833
Save %
Ldr 0.968
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
FLAMES
0%
RANGERS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
NYR By 1 goal
12.1%
NYR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
CGY @ NYR
0 - 4
Oct 26, 2025
NYR @ CGY
1 - 5
Mar 18, 2025
CGY @ NYR
2 - 1
Nov 21, 2024
NYR @ CGY
2 - 3
Feb 12, 2024
CGY @ NYR
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.4% more
Calgary: 31.5
vs
New York: 26.8
Takeaways (L5)
+8.9% more
Calgary: 3.8
vs
New York: 3.5
Hits (L5)
+20.7% more
New York: 25.9
vs
Calgary: 20.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.5% more
New York: 13.7
vs
Calgary: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.0
1
CGY Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.0 / 13.7
18.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
44.8 / 52.6
44.2 / 55.8
Hits
20.5 / 25.9
18.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
1201.0 / 1731.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.5 / 26.8
30.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 3.5
4.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
NYR
CGY
NYR
ML
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
40%
2-3
ATS
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
TTL
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
0%
0-3
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…