AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
MAGIC
0%
BULLS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CHI By 1-7 points
0.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
0.0%
ORL By 1-7 points
1.7%
ORL By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
109
CHICAGO
Orlando
137
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Chicago
106
CHICAGO
Orlando
110
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (-6)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.0
Loss
Proj Total: 246.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 216.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
ORL @ CHI
127 - 103
Jan 2, 2026
ORL @ CHI
114 - 121
Dec 1, 2025
CHI @ ORL
120 - 125
Oct 25, 2025
CHI @ ORL
110 - 98
Mar 6, 2025
CHI @ ORL
125 - 123
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Orlando: 34.5%
vs
Chicago: 32.1%
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Chicago: 29.8
vs
Orlando: 23.7
Blocks (L5)
+19.6% more
Chicago: 6.8
vs
Orlando: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.6%
Chicago: 77.4%
vs
Orlando: 75.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
109.0
110
ORL Score
137.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 32.1
40.0 / 36.7
Assists
23.7 / 29.8
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
5.5 / 6.8
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 46.6
46.7 / 44.8
Free Throw %
7570.0 / 7735.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
46.5 / 49.1
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
7.4 / 7.6
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
18.2 / 17.1
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CHI
ORL
CHI
ML
61%
65-42
56%
54-42
56%
51-40
57%
46-35
ATS
64%
68-38-1
65%
62-33-1
56%
51-40
57%
46-35
TTL
57%
61-46
58%
56-40
100%
91-0
100%
81-0