CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
1-0 | Road
121
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
1-0 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
76ERS
100%
HORNETS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
15.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
25.3%
PHI By 1-7 points
4.8%
PHI By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
124
CHARLOTTE
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Charlotte
105
CHARLOTTE
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u237.0
Loss
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim
u237.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
PHI @ CHA
118 - 114
Jan 26, 2026
PHI @ CHA
93 - 130
Oct 25, 2025
CHA @ PHI
121 - 125
Dec 20, 2024
CHA @ PHI
98 - 108
Dec 16, 2024
PHI @ CHA
121 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.0% more
Charlotte: 29.2
vs
Philadelphia: 21.9
Rebounding (L5)
+19.9% more
Charlotte: 51.3
vs
Philadelphia: 41.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
Charlotte: 40.4%
vs
Philadelphia: 30.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Charlotte: 48.4%
vs
Philadelphia: 42.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
124.0
121
PHI Score
109.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 40.4
40.0 / 47.2
Assists
21.9 / 29.2
0.0 / 0.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.8
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 48.4
45.9 / 53.3
Free Throw %
7539.0 / 7139.0
0.0 / 0.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 51.3
0.0 / 0.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.7
0.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 17.9
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHA
PHI
CHA
ML
63%
69-40
61%
60-39
48%
45-48
48%
40-44
ATS
65%
71-38
60%
59-40
48%
45-48
48%
40-44
TTL
55%
60-49
58%
57-42
100%
93-0
100%
84-0
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