MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
6-3-0 | Road
4
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
4-4-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 3.00 | 0.903 | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 4.19 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
4.19
0.903 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
CANUCKS
0%
CANADIENS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VAN By 1 goal
19.7%
VAN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 12, 2026
VAN @ MTL
3 - 6
Oct 25, 2025
MTL @ VAN
4 - 3
Mar 11, 2025
MTL @ VAN
4 - 2
Jan 6, 2025
VAN @ MTL
4 - 5
Mar 21, 2024
MTL @ VAN
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+40.5% more
Vancouver: 25.1
vs
Montreal: 17.8
Takeaways (L5)
+35.9% more
Montreal: 4.9
vs
Vancouver: 3.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.2% more
Montreal: 27.4
vs
Vancouver: 24.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.6%
Montreal: 46.2%
vs
Vancouver: 40.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
2.0
4
VAN Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.6 / 18.2
15.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
40.5 / 46.2
37.7 / 62.3
Hits
25.1 / 17.8
20.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
9.9 / 14.1
33.3 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
24.3 / 27.4
31.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 4.9
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
MTL
VAN
MTL
ML
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
100%
4-0
TTL
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
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Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…